March 3, 2008, Greencastle, Ind. - "We have a massive challenge ahead of us," Tony Blair told an audience of 4,300 at 花季传媒 tonight. The former prime minister of Great Britain and Northern Ireland declared, "The world is changing, and it's changing fast," and he stressed the need for heads of state to "exercise global leadership." Blair's Timothy and Sharon Ubben Lecture in the Lilly Center's Neal Fieldhouse was titled, "Challenges and Opportunities Facing 21st Century Citizens of the World."

"If I have a fear at all about our countries in the 21st century, it's that we just don't understand how fast the world is changing and how fast we have to adapt," says Blair, who stepped down as prime minister in June and is currently serving as the Middle East Quartet Representative. "The Middle East -- and I'm there a lot -- is a region in transition; the question is, in transition to what? And that's why it's important that we exercise this global leadership now." Blair believes "it's urgent -- the world can't wait for us to discover 5, 10 years down the line that we missed our opportunity to shape the 21st century in the right way."

Blair -- who took the stage as the 花季传媒 Band played a fanfare -- received several standing ovations from the crowd which began lining up outside the Lilly Center hours before the doors opened at 5 p.m.

This year, China will invest more in Africa -- where some three million children die of preventable diseases each year -- than the European Union and America together, Blair noted. He pointed to an emerging middle class in Russia, and the fact that India produces more qualified graduate engineers than the whole of the European Union put together.

Climate change will force us to alter our lifestyles, Blair continued. "Essentially, every economy in the world is being changed rapidly, fundamentally by globalization and technological change, so that there are new economies being created, particularly in the Far East." Vietnam, he says, is "particularly dynamic" and will be a "first world economy" in only a few years. "The center of gravity is shifting eastward," according to Blair.

The threat of terrorism still looms large, the former prime minister maintains, pointing out that some 40 countries suffered serious terrorist attacks in the past year, including Nigeria and Thailand. "If we are going to defeat this global terrorist threat we have to defeat it, yes, by military means where necessary," Blair told his 花季传媒 audience. "But we also need to recognize that it's a battle of ideas; that we have to win people's hearts and minds, as well." (at right: Blair with 花季传媒 students at an afternoon forum at the Janet Prindle Institute for Ethics)

"They are global challenges. No one country can meet those challenges," stated Blair, who admitted to the crowd that he is familiar with the speech Harold Macmillan delivered at 花季传媒's 1958 commencement. It was carried live on national television from Blackstock Stadium while Macmillan was the sitting prime minister.

"He spoke then about the interdependence of the world, and he spoke then about the need for America and Britain to realize the world as it was after the post-war years was not going to be the world as it was going to be in the years to come. And he was absolutely right," Blair says. "And what has happened today in the year 2008 is that this idea of interdependence that was a sort of political cliché has actually come to fulfillment. We are interdependent today. No one country is strong enough, not even this country -- powerful and great though it is -- is strong enough to be able to handle and to meet the global challenges that we face on its own."

What is required, says Blair, is a "global coalition to achieve the global action that is necessary for our future, based on globally acceptable values." But while the world is shifting quickly, "the political institutions and the political attitudes needed to overcome these challenges are shifting far too slow."

The "left-right debate" needs be pushed aside by an "open-closed" dialogue. "In other words, are we open in our attitude? Are we prepared to be engaged rather than isolationist?," Blair asked. "Are we prepared to be open in terms of trade rather than protectionist? Are we prepared to be open to the benefits of a world that has shifted very, very fast by globalization, or do we close down? Do we say, no, in the face of these challenges it's best to protect what we have -- to ward off migration, to make sure that we may look after ourselves but we don't go out and get engaged with the world. I believe that distinction -- whether you're open in your attitude to the world or closed -- will be important in the years to come as left versus right."

The rise of China and India provide opportunities for essential "new partnerships," Blair said, who also spoke of the importance of working proactively to build a future in which strong dialogues develop between traditional superpowers and the emerging world powers. (photo at left: Kelly Wilkinson/Indianapolis Star)

Blair added, "I think there's tremendous possibility in this world today, precisely because of the way the world changes. But there's also an urgency about the challenges that it poses." He asserted, "This is a great country. We need its leadership in the world, and that leadership has got to be based on values that unite, with a coalition that is broad enough to address the world that is emerging as well as the world that has already emerged. And it has to be an agenda that allows us to act effectively and also quickly."

During the question-and-answer session, in which 花季传媒 student journalists presented Blair with questions that had been e-mailed, the former prime minister was quizzed about his support for the Iraq war. "The best I can do is to take the decision I think is right.  Now I don't know whether I am right or not; lots of other people have different judgments. But what I know about this terrorist threat is this: it is real, it is in large parts of the world, it has got a real purchase on a significant part of street opinion in many of these Muslim countries, and if we show for a moment weakness in the face of it, we're gonna lose this battle. And I tell you, we cannot afford to lose it, not for us and not for the generations to come."

As a cold rain fell outside, Blair opened his talk by thanking the large crowd "for making me feel so welcome here today, including putting on the British weather for me, which is most appreciated." As the audience laughed, he noted that as the fifth British Prime Minister to visit 花季传媒, "You saved the worst for last."

Kidding aside, Blair stated, "It's a real honor to be here at 花季传媒 this evening and to follow in the footsteps of my distinguished predecessors."

Harold Macmillan, whose grandfather was a graduate of the University, provided 花季传媒's 1958 commencement address as the sitting prime minister. Harold Wilson presented a 1981 talk. The Ubben Lecture Series brought Margaret Thatcher to campus in 1992 and John Major in 2001.